"A government big enough to give you everything you want, is big enough to take away everything you have"
Thomas Jefferson

Saturday, July 5, 2008

Is Oot In The Race For Congress??

The Cook Political Report is an extensive political website covering the Presidential race as well as Senate, House and Governor races. The Cook Report has a list of competitive House races and list them as leaning Democrat or Republican, likely Democrat or Republican and Toss Up Democrat or Republican.The analysis was done on "competitive" races and reviewing the chart, the 23rd Congressional District seat  currently held by John McHugh is not considered a competitive race.Does Michael Oot or Danny Francis know they are not considered competitive by Cook? P IV apologizes if this made an otherwise beautiful weekend gloomy for Danger Democrat.

Whether or not the Cook Report considers this competitive or not, John McHugh will.

LIKELY DEMOCRATIC LEAN DEMOCRATIC DEMOCRATIC TOSS UP

DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
CT-5 Christopher Murphy D+4
GA-12 John Barrow D+2
IL-8 Melissa Bean R+5
IN-8 Brad Ellsworth R+9
KS-3 Dennis Moore R+4
MN-1 Tim Walz R+1
NH-2 Paul Hodes D+3
NY-19 John Hall R+1
NY-24 Michael Arcuri R+1
OH-18 Zack Space R+6
PA-7 Joe Sestak D+4
PA-8 Patrick Murphy D+3
PA-11 Paul Kanjorski D+5
TX-23 Ciro Rodriguez R+4
14 DEMOCRATS
0 REPUBLICANS

DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
AZ-5 Harry Mitchell R+4
AZ-8 Gabrielle Giffords R+1
FL-16 Tim Mahoney R+2
GA-8 Jim Marshall R+8
IL-11 OPEN (Weller) R+1
IL-14 Bill Foster R+5
IN-9 Baron Hill R+7
KY-3 John Yarmuth D+2
NH-1 Carol Shea-Porter R+0
NY-13 OPEN (Fossella) D+1
NY-20 Kirsten Gillibrand R+3
NY-25 OPEN (Walsh) D+3
OR-5 OPEN (Hooley) D+1
PA-4 Jason Altmire R+3
VA-11 OPEN (Davis) R+1
WI-8 Steve Kagen R+4
12 DEMOCRATS
4 REPUBLICANS

DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
AL-5 OPEN (Cramer) R+6
CA-11 Jerry McNerney R+3
KS-2 Nancy Boyda R+7
LA-6 Don Cazayoux R+7
MS-1 Travis Childers R+10
PA-10 Chris Carney R+8
TX-22 Nick Lampson R+15
7 DEMOCRATS
0 REPUBLICANS
REPUBLICAN TOSS UP LEAN REPUBLICAN LIKELY REPUBLICAN

DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
AK-AL Don Young R+14
AZ-1 OPEN (Renzi) R+2
CO-4 Marilyn Musgrave R+9
CT-4 Christopher Shays D+5
IL-10 Mark Kirk D+4
LA-4 OPEN (McCrery) R+7
MI-7 Tim Walberg R+2
MN-3 OPEN (Ramstad) R+1
NJ-3 OPEN (Saxton) D+3
NJ-7 OPEN (Ferguson) R+1
NM-1 OPEN (Wilson) D+2
NY-26 OPEN (Reynolds) R+3
NY-29 Randy Kuhl R+5
NC-8 Robin Hayes R+3
OH-1 Steve Chabot R+1
OH-15 OPEN (Pryce) R+1
OH-16 OPEN (Regula) R+4
WA-8 Dave Reichert D+2
18 REPUBLICANS
0 DEMOCRATS

DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
AL-2 OPEN (Everett) R+13
FL-8 Ric Keller R+3
FL-21 Lincoln Diaz-Balart R+6
FL-24 Tom Feeney R+3
MI-9 Joe Knollenberg R+0
MO-6 Sam Graves R+5
NV-3 Jon Porter D+1
NM-2 OPEN (Pearce) R+6
PA-3 Phil English R+2
VA-2 Thelma Drake R+6
WV-2 Shelley Moore Capito R+5
11 REPUBLICANS
0 DEMOCRATS

DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
AL-3 Mike Rogers R+4
AZ-3 John Shadegg R+6
CA-4 OPEN (Doolittle) R+11
CA-46 Dana Rohrabacher R+6
CA-50 Brian Bilbray R+5
FL-9 Gus Bilirakis R+4
FL-13 Vern Buchanan R+4
FL-15 OPEN (Weldon) R+4
FL-18 Ileana Ros-Lehtinen R+4
FL-25 Mario Diaz-Balart R+4
ID-1 Bill Sali R+19
IL-6 Peter Roskam R+3
IL-18 OPEN (LaHood) R+5
IN-3 Mark Souder R+16
IA-4 Tom Latham D+0
KY-2 OPEN (Lewis) R+13
MD-1 OPEN (Gilchrest) R+10
MN-2 John Kline R+3
MN-6 Michele Bachmann R+5
MO-9 OPEN (Hulshof) R+7
NE-2 Lee Terry R+9
NV-2 Dean Heller R+8
NJ-5 Scott Garrett R+4
NC-10 Patrick McHenry R+15
OH-2 Jean Schmidt R+13
OH-7 OPEN (Hobson) R+6
PA-5 OPEN (Peterson) R+10
PA-6 Jim Gerlach D+2
PA-15 Charlie Dent D+2
PA-18 Tim Murphy R+2
TX-7 John Culberson R+16
TX-10 Michael McCaul R+13
VA-5 Virgil Goode R+6
VA-10 Frank Wolf R+5
WY-AL OPEN (Cubin) R+19
35 REPUBLICANS
0 DEMOCRATS

Friday, July 4, 2008

Skelos Travels Upstate

Newly minted Senate Majority Leader Dean Skelos is traveling New York recently visiting Buffalo and Rochester.

Skelos made the following comments in various venues;

“We work together as a unified body, understanding that each region of the state has their unique needs and that each region of the state has to be treated fairly. And I think that has been the success over the years of our conference.”

“When you start in Buffalo and go to Montauk, the No. 1 issue in this state is property taxes”

When asked why residents here should believe that upstate will be a priority, he had the numbers ready to emphasize upstate’s importance to him and his 32-member Republican conference: “There are 20 members from upstate New York”

He wants to work with Paterson on his plan to cap the growth of property taxes and welcomes a special session so lawmakers can act this summer.

Erie County Executive Chris Collins;
“We have some important elections coming up,” Collins said in introducing Skelos at a news conference after their meeting. “We are all going to work very hard to make sure that Western New York is well represented in the Senate, and that our issues, which in many cases are different from other parts of the state, are heard and supported.”


The north country would welcome a visit from Skelos just as much as any other dignitary and he should be warmly welcomed in the same way Paterson was received on his first visit. The north country benefits with visits of people such as Paterson or Skelos who have much to say about the direction of New York State, they should always be welcomed regardless of party affiliation.

The question remains; where is Assembly Speaker Sheldon Silver or Senate Minority Leader Malcolm Smith, to recent memory neither have ever been here, how can they claim they understand Northern New York? 

The upcoming elections are about:
  • Checks and balances in New York State Government, making sure all perspective views are represented fairly in debates on issues.
  • What leadership has a better understanding of north country issues, the leaders drive the conference agenda and allow legislation to be voted on or not 
  • Where is the balance or concentration of power within the Senate or Assembly Republican or Democratic conference
  • What representative can best help constituents navigate New York State government and its agencies to their benefit

Indy Bloomberg: Not a Fan...

Independent minded Mayor of New York City is a not fan of single party rule in Albany.

Here are some of his quotes:

"terribly important to government to have multiple parties having influence."

"one party rule is even worse than the two-party wrangling "

"History has shown that when one party dominates all branches of any government there's not the normal checks and balances to try to make sure all points of views are included and that the decisions that are made are decisions that try to encompass as many people as possible,"

The Mayor has it right!

Bloomberg should run for Governor, P IV is a fan of his independent style!

Thursday, July 3, 2008

Addie Jenne Russell: Liberal Agenda

Addie Jenne Russell, candidate for Assembly in the 118th District running against Bobby Cantwell interviews with Mayor Jeff Graham on the Hotline. Addie appears very calm, relaxed and also very resolute in her views and those views are very liberal stances on social and fiscal issues and below are a couple of short clips of the interview.

There will be a clear difference in candidates on social and fiscal issues this fall, as a matter of fact Addie is on an oasis when compared to all the candidates on her social views, even Aubertine, a conservative democrat is not even this far left of center. 

The first clip here Addie claims the gas sales tax cap by the Jefferson County Legislature eliminating sales tax above $2.00 a gallon is not working. Addie supported the sales tax cap and now appears to have a change of position on this issue, therefore the conclusion is she favors the eliminating the gas tax cap which will raise taxes on gasoline.



The next clip of the interview Addie lays out her liberal agenda. Her candid responses seem to take the Hizzoner by surprise as he even proclaims "'cuz you just made news."


Clearly there are differences in these two candidates for the 118th Assembly in their social agenda, so far Cantwell appears conservative while Addie Jenne Russell is quite liberal in her positions. If you are voting on social issues this race will be an easy decision depending upon your positions.

(Credit & Hat Tip: Steve Weed Productions to view complete interview)

Wednesday, July 2, 2008

Rushbo Continues

This is sure to twist and turn Ted Ford and all the other liberal friends of P IV.

Rush Limbaugh who is the main irritant to people on the left has signed a new megadeal contract;

Limbaugh has signed a stunning mega contract renewal deal with Premiere Radio Networks and parent company Clear Channel Communications.

Said to be Limbaugh's most lucrative deal ever by far, the new agreement runs through 2016 and includes a previously unheard-of nine figure signing bonus. 



And Rush has granted an interview to his foe the New York Times for this Sunday.
On McCain: “If your team isn’t in it, you root for the team you hate less. That’s McCain.”

On Obama: “He’s a liberal. I oppose liberals. That’s all that’s involved here.”

Concert in the Park Tonight

Symphony, Fireworks and Fun Tonight

Syracuse Symphony in Thompson Park

Pre-concert Yellow Ribbon Ceremony; Northern Blend Chorus (7:00 p.m.)

Attn: Dave Renzi

Republican state Senate candidate in the 37th district and Mayor of Larchmont, Liz Feld is up on TV today with the first commercial of her campaign against incumbent Democrat Sen. Suzi Oppenheimer. It is a pretty good commercial, full of energy and life! A New Generation!



Here is another Republican's commercial Senator Serf Maltese of Queens, there is quite a difference in the two from a production quality standpoint.




Dave Renzi should hire Feld's production outfit, he has the same full of life, energy and new generation approach and with his youthful family he represents that new generation. This race should not be the same old tired politics "one of us" style campaigns, his family represents the mom and dad working hard everyday to raise a family.

Tuesday, July 1, 2008

Support For Exploration Increases Among Democrats and Liberals

The American people are speaking heading into the election, they favor more exploration and drilling.

Pew Research has posted the following results.
It seems like liberals are leading the way in the change of mood in the country!
Partisan Gap over Energy Exploration Disappears
Much of the increase in support for energy exploration has come among groups that previously viewed this as a less important priority than energy conservation - young people, liberals, independents, Democrats, women and people who have attended college.

"The public's changing energy priorities are most evident in the growing percentage that views increased energy exploration - including mining and drilling, as well as the construction of new power plants - as a more important priority for energy policy than increased conservation and regulation. Nearly half (47%) now rates energy exploration as the more important priority, up from 35% in February. The proportion saying it is more important to increase energy conservation and regulation has declined by 10 points (from 55% to 45%)."

Wesley Clark: Stupidity and Hypocrisy

Wesley Clark, retired General who obviously believed that qualified him to run for President of the United States, appeared on CBS Face the Nation this past weekend and became critical of McCain's wartime service. Clark used it to question McCain's qualifications as a Commander in Chief, not thinking far enough ahead to ask himself why he thought he was qualified or what qualified Barack Obama.

Here is excerpts of the interview.
Because in the matters of national security policy making, it’s a matter of understanding risk, it’s a matter of gauging your opponents and it’s a matter of being held accountable. John McCain’s never done any of that in his official positions. I certainly honor his service as a prisoner of war. He was a hero to me and to hundreds of thousands of millions of others in the armed forces as a prisoner of war. He has been a voice on the Senate Armed Services Committee and he has traveled all over the world. But he hasn’t held executive responsibility. That large squadron in the Navy that he commanded wasn’t a wartime squadron. He hasn’t been there and ordered the bombs to fall. He hasn’t seen what it’s like when diplomats come in and say, `I don’t know whether we’re going to be able to get this point through or not. Do you want to take the risk? What about your reputation? How do we handle it publicly?
CBS's Bob Schieffer appeared stunned pointed this out to Clark:
I have to say, Barack Obama has not had any of those experiences either, nor has he ridden in a fighter plane and gotten shot down. I mean…

These negatives comments obviously appeal to the left wing likes of Danger Democrat and MoveOn.org so lets look at what Clark failed to realize about Barack Obama:
  •  In “the matter of national security policy making.” Barack Obama hasn’t ever done anything.
  • In the matter of gauging your “opponents”, Obama wants to meet with them without preconditions despite having no national-security, military, or diplomatic experience.
  • Barack Obama hasn’t been on the Senate Armed Services Committee.
  • Barack Obama hasn’t had any executive experience.
  • Barack Obama hasn’t commanded anything, in wartime or not.
  • Barack Obama hasn’t dealt with diplomats in any capacity at all.
  • Barack Obama hasn’t ordered the bombs to fall, although to be fair, he has associated himself with someone who has — William Ayers.
Read Eagle's Nest Blog he rightly ask: "Is this the change we want?"

A Democratic strategy of using surrogates to attack and demean McCain POW status and wartime service will backfire and fail miserably and it should!

Pelosi & Co - Democrats Out of Touch on Gas Prices

Speaker Nancy Pelosi and her Democratic allies in Congress are out of step with the average American when it comes to gas prices and Freedom Watch points that out to people.

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