Gallup is saying it is official, no bounce from the Biden announcement.
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3 comments:
since you're so enamored with polls and bumps and the like, iv, i'm sure you'll be interested to know that, just two days later, gallup has obama up 48-42.
That is true and that would be considered a very "modest" bump from the convention. He better hope for a lot better than 6 points.
actually, a 6-point bounce is already fairly decent: have a look here. it seems to be somewhat uncommon to get more than a 10-point bounce. and it's also worth noting that the size of the bounce isn't a great predictor of the election's ultimate outcome.
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