"A government big enough to give you everything you want, is big enough to take away everything you have"
Thomas Jefferson

Tuesday, November 4, 2008

10 ReasosnTo Ignore Exit Polling

10 reasons to ignore exit polling, read the entire piece click on FiveThirtyEight.

1. Exit polls have a much larger intrinsic margin for error than regular polls. 
2. Exit polls have consistently overstated the Democratic share of the vote. 
3. Exit polls were particularly bad in this year's primaries. 
4. Exit polls challenge the definition of a random sample.
5. Democrats may be more likely to participate in exit polls.
6. Exit polls may have problems calibrating results from early voting. 
7. Exit polls may also miss late voters.
8. "Leaked" exit poll results may not be the genuine article.
9. A high-turnout election may make demographic weighting difficult. 
10. You'll know the actual results soon enough anyway.


Anonymous said...

Besides if you follow the exit polls and your a Palin/McCain supporter you election night party will suck instead of when its time to home.

Anonymous said...

We're back to that GED requirement again. Please, if you're going to post, have a HS diploma or a GED.

Anonymous said...

I'm laughing at the superior intellect.
Where's your Snowbunny now, in 4 years all that beauty will really start sagging. How sad.

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