"A government big enough to give you everything you want, is big enough to take away everything you have"
Thomas Jefferson

Monday, August 18, 2008

Barry Losing His Luster, Tumbling In New York

Barack Obama is losing his appeal in the Empire State, he lead McCain in June by 18 points, his lead has shrunk to 8 points according to a newly released Siena NY Poll.

Date                Obama  McCain  Don’t Know/No Opinion
August 2008     47          39               14
July 2008          50          37              13
June 2008         51          33              17

His national lead overall is following the same trend, a steady decline.

If John McCain continues to answer questions as precisely and passionately like he did during the Saddleback Civil Forum interview and Barack Obama continues his evasive answers to specific questions, this trend is likely to continue.

All of this is not particularly good news for Darrel Aubertine and the rest of the New York State Senate Democrats who need to ride the coattails of Barack Obama.

If you are interested in playing out different scenarios for the electoral college try it here, this interactive calculator lets you try your political skills for predicting elections results.

1 comment:

hermit thrush said...

nice to see that captain shill is back on his horse! iv, how can you honestly begin a sentence with "If John McCain continues to answer questions as precisely and passionately like he did during the Saddleback Civil Forum interview..." -- is this some ridiculous joke? the carpetbagger report perceptively points to the simple question "define rich" that was asked of both candidates during the saddleback forum. here's mccain's reply.

“Some of the richest people I’ve ever known in my life are the most unhappy. I think that rich is — should be defined by a home, a good job and education and the ability to hand to our children a more prosperous and safer world than the one that we inherited. I don’t want to take any money from the rich. I want everybody to get rich. I don’t believe in class warfare or redistribution of the wealth. But I can tell you for example there are small businessmen and women who are working 16 hours a day, seven days a week that some people would classify as, quote, ‘rich,’ my friends, who want to raise their taxes and raise their payroll taxes. Let’s have — keep taxes low. Let’s give every family in America a $7,000 tax credit for every child they have. Let’s give them a $5,000 refundable tax credit to go out and get the health insurance of their choice. Let’s not have the government take over the health care system in America.

“So I think if you’re just talking about income, how about $5 million. But seriously, I don’t think you can — I don’t think, seriously that — the point is that I’m trying to make here seriously — and I’m sure that comment will be distorted, but the point is — the point is — the point is that we want to keep people’s taxes low and increase revenues. And my friend, it was not taxes that mattered in America in the last several years. It was spending. Spending got completely out of control. We spent money in a way that mortgaged our kids futures. My friends, we spent $3 million of your money to study the DNA of bears in Montana. Now I don’t know if that was a paternity issue or a criminal issue, but the point is — but the point is it was $3 million of your money. It was your money.

“And you know, we laugh about it, but we cry and we should cry because the Congress is supposed to be careful stewards of your tax dollars. so what did they just do in the middle of an energy crisis when in California we are paying $4 a gallon for gas, went on vacation for five weeks. I guarantee you, two things they never miss, a pay raise and a vacation. And we should stop that and call them back and not raise your taxes. We should not and cannot raise taxes in tough economic times. So it doesn’t matter really what my definition of rich is because I don’t want to raise anybody’s taxes.”

i guess the only thing "precise" about that is that mccain managed to squeeze an actual dollar amount of $5 million in there (that's right, $5 million!). but otherwise, how could his response have been more convoluted and confused?

Live Blogging